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Trinitite

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Risk Analytics

Know your AI risk. In dollars.

A live risk score, Monte Carlo loss simulations, insurance tower analytics, and liability tracking — all driven by real governance data, not surveys.

250–1000

Score Range

10K

Simulations

Real-time

Updates

$$$

Dollar Values

How It Works

From raw data to dollar-value risk

01

Governance data flows in

Every action your AI agents take — every correction, every block, every pass — feeds into the risk engine automatically.

02

Actuarial models run

Real actuarial models crunch the numbers. Monte Carlo simulations, Markov chains, and loss distributions — running continuously.

03

Dollar-value risk comes out

You get a risk score, a loss forecast, and exact dollar values. No surveys. No guesses. Just math based on what actually happened.

Interactive Demos

See the numbers for yourself

Risk Score

Monte Carlo

Insurance Tower

ROI

Risk Taxonomy

Concentration

Liability Values

One number that tells you where you stand

The Agentic Risk Score rates your AI governance from 250 to 1,000 — like a credit score. It updates in real time as your agents work. Higher is safer.

8007005504002500

CRITICAL (250–399)

Composite governance posture rating

See 10,000 possible futures

We run 10,000 simulations of what could go wrong. You see the most likely losses, the worst-case scenario, and exactly where your biggest risks are.

Monte Carlo Simulation — 10,000 Scenarios

Expected Annual Loss

$0

VaR (95%)

$0

CVaR (Tail Risk)

$0

Breach Probability

0.0%

Loss Distribution by Percentile

$0

P10

$0

P25

$0

P50

$0

P75

$0

P90

$0

P95

$0

P99

Mean

VaR 95%

Tail Risk

Know what your insurance actually covers

See your policy layers stacked up against your actual risk. Find the gaps between what you're covered for and what you're exposed to.

Insurance Tower Analytics

Aggregate Stop-Loss

Limit: $5.0M

Claims utilized

$0

0%

Excess / Stop-Loss

Limit: $1.0M

Claims utilized

$0

0%

Self-Insured Retention

Limit: $250K

Claims utilized

$0

0%

Liability Prevented

$0

Governance kept this from becoming claims

Claims Avoided

0

Premium Impact

$0

Distance to SIR

$93K

Show the board what governance saved you

Every blocked violation has a dollar value. Every corrected output avoided a cost. This chart shows exactly how much Trinitite saved you — in real dollars.

ROI Attribution

0.0x

ROI

Liability Prevented

$0

Premium Savings

$0

Compliance Avoided

$0

Productivity Saved

$0

Platform Cost

-$0

Net Value

$0

Map every incident to the right category

Classify AI violations into your organization's risk framework. Map every incident to the right category automatically.

Risk taxonomy

Live violation mapping

PII

SSN Exposure

High

142 events

Credit Card Leak

High

89 events

Medical Data

Medium

56 events

Email Addresses

Low

203 events

Financial

Unauthorized Commitment

High

34 events

Pricing Disclosure

Medium

67 events

Refund Override

Medium

21 events

Compliance

GDPR Violation

High

48 events

HIPAA Breach

High

12 events

Regulatory Filing

Low

5 events

Security

Access Control Bypass

High

91 events

Credential Leak

High

38 events

Audit Tampering

Medium

7 events

Stress-test vendor dependency

Quantify provider dependency risk. Model what happens when a critical AI vendor goes down.

Provider concentration (HHI)

2,450

Moderate

0

10,000

Diversified (0–1,500)

Moderate (1,500–2,500)

Concentrated (2,500–5,000)

Monopolistic (5000+)

Dependency breakdown

OpenAI

45%

Anthropic

30%

Internal LLM

15%

Google

10%

Financial exposure

$2.4M annual impact

What if OpenAI becomes unavailable?

See liability your governance prevented

Map every violation type to a dollar value. See the running total of liability your governance has prevented.

Total Liability Shielded

$0

Coverage Tower

Excess

$500K

Primary

$250K

Retention

$100K

Monitoring...

Advanced Analytics

Markov State Risk Modeling

Track how your agents move between risk states over time. See transition probabilities and predict where risk is heading — before it gets there.

Markov Risk State Model

15%35%14%28%20%25%SAFEELEVATEDHIGHCRITICAL

30-Day State History

Capabilities

The full risk quantification suite

Agentic Risk Score

A 250–1,000 composite score. Tracks governance coverage, policy compliance, vendor risk, and NHI posture. Updated in real time.

Monte Carlo Simulations

10,000 scenario runs model expected losses, tail risk, and breach probability. See VaR at 95% and 99% confidence.

Liability Value Tracking

Every violation type gets a dollar value. PII leaks, compliance failures, data breaches — you see the cost before it happens.

Insurance Telematics

Live telemetry data for your insurers. Measured behavior replaces questionnaires. Get better premiums with proof.

Value at Risk (VaR)

95th and 99th percentile loss estimates. Know the dollar amount you could lose in the worst 5% and 1% of scenarios.

Stress Testing

Simulate extreme events — mass agent failures, coordinated attacks, vendor outages. See how your governance holds up under pressure.

Risk Decay Curve

Watch your risk shrink over time as governance improves. Show auditors a measurable trend, not a promise.

ROI Attribution

Every dollar saved is traced back to the policy that saved it. Know which governance rules deliver the most value.

Total Liability Shielded

$0

Coverage Tower

Excess

$500K

Primary

$250K

Retention

$100K

Monitoring...

Governance ROI

Every correction has a dollar value.

Every violation that gets corrected instead of blocked has a dollar value. See the total liability your governance layer has prevented — broken down by PII, financial, compliance, and security categories.

The definitive answer to 'what is AI governance worth?' — backed by real incident data, not estimates.

Correction Value — Liability Comparison

Without Governance

$0k

estimated annual liability

SHIELDED

$0k

With Governance

$0k

residual exposure

PII Exposure

$0k saved

residual

prevented

Financial Commitments

$0k saved

residual

prevented

Compliance Violations

$0k saved

residual

prevented

Security Incidents

$0k saved

residual

prevented

Risk Decay Curve

Decay Score:

0/100

Novel violations

Repeat violations

10203040JanMarMayJulSepNov

Declining novel violation rate = governance maturity improving over time

Governance Maturity

Watch your novel risk decline over time.

The declining novel violation rate is the single best indicator of governance maturity. Novel risks become rarer as policies mature, governors improve, and edge cases get covered.

Show the board that your AI risk is improving — with data, not promises.

Actuarial Analysis

Loss development for AI incidents.

Actuarial loss development analysis adapted for AI incidents. Project ultimate losses from reported history. The standard actuarial tool, now applied to AI liability.

Insurance professionals and risk managers already know how to read loss triangles. Now they have one for AI.

Available on: Enterprise

Loss Development Triangle

0mo

3mo

6mo

9mo

12mo

Q1 2025

$45k

$52k

$54k

$55k

$56k

Q2 2025

$38k

$44k

$47k

$49k

Q3 2025

$42k

$49k

$52k

Q4 2025

$35k

$41k

Q1 2026

$28k

Governor Survival Analysis

PII Shield

Financial Guard

Content Safety

25%50%75%100%0mo3mo6mo9mo12mo

Time between governance failures (months) — higher is better

Failure Analysis

Survival analysis for governance failures.

Kaplan-Meier survival analysis for governance failures. How long between incidents for each governor? Compare survival profiles to identify which governors need attention.

The same statistical framework used in clinical trials, applied to AI governance. Rigorous, visual, and actionable.

Available on: Enterprise

Scenario Modeling

Model worst-case scenarios before they happen.

Model worst-case scenarios: major provider outage, mass PII incident, coordinated adversarial attack. See the financial impact, the blast radius, and the recovery timeline — before it happens.

Stress testing isn't optional for regulated industries. Now you can run it continuously, not just once a quarter.

Available on: Enterprise

Stress Testing — Scenario Comparison

extreme

P=2.1%

Major Provider Outage

Primary AI provider offline for 72+ hours

Revenue Impact

$2.4M

Agents Affected

89%

Recovery Time

72hr

severe

P=0.8%

Mass PII Incident

Simultaneous PII exposure across 5+ agents

Regulatory Fines

$1.2M

Records Exposed

45k

Legal Costs

$600k

moderate

P=4.3%

Coordinated Prompt Attack

Adversarial campaign exploiting agent chain

Financial Loss

$890k

Agents Compromised

3

Containment

4hr

Stop guessing what AI failures cost you.

Start free with 1,000 governance interactions. Get your first risk score in minutes — no credit card required.